According to the statistics available on statcounter.com, from January 2009 to January 2010, iPhone browser traffic share actually decreased, not increased, as one might expect.

This is likely due to new competition from Android phones, as well as the possibility that more users are simply using iPhone native apps instead of web apps.

In any case, in my opinion these are the figures we ought to be looking at, not overall phone sales, as others such as PPK concentrate on. If we don’t use computer sales as an estimate of desktop browser share, then why should we use phone sales as an estimate of mobile browser share? Just because someone has a phone with a pre-installed browser doesn’t lead them to actually use it.

In any case, here’s the statistics, with a few surprises:

And now for the stats…

Worldwide mobile browser traffic (% share)

  <td>
    2009 %
  </td>

  <td>
    2010 %
  </td>

  <td>
    % change
  </td>
</tr>

<tr>
  <td>
    Opera
  </td>

  <td>
    24.69
  </td>

  <td>
    25.53
  </td>

  <td class="positive">
    +0.84
  </td>
</tr>

<tr>
  <td>
    iPhone
  </td>

  <td>
    23.06
  </td>

  <td>
    21.52
  </td>

  <td class="negative">
    -1.54</td</tr> <tr>
      <td>
        Nokia
      </td>

      <td>
        17.78
      </td>

      <td>
        18.53
      </td>

      <td class="positive">
        +1.75</td</tr> <tr>
          <td>
            iTouch
          </td>

          <td>
            12.89
          </td>

          <td>
            11.6
          </td>

          <td class="negative">
            -1.29</td</tr> <tr>
              <td>
                BlackBerry
              </td>

              <td>
                4.91
              </td>

              <td>
                9.85
              </td>

              <td class="positive">
                +4.94</td</tr> <tr>
                  <td>
                    Android
                  </td>

                  <td>
                    1.92
                  </td>

                  <td>
                    4.54
                  </td>

                  <td class="positive">
                    +2.62</td</tr> <tr>
                      <td>
                        NetFront
                      </td>

                      <td>
                        1.35
                      </td>

                      <td>
                        3.27
                      </td>

                      <td class="positive">
                        +1.92</td</tr> <tr>
                          <td>
                            Sony PSP
                          </td>

                          <td>
                            4.38
                          </td>

                          <td>
                            1.2
                          </td>

                          <td class="negative">
                            -3.18</td</tr> <tr>
                              <td>
                                Openwave
                              </td>

                              <td>
                                2.61
                              </td>

                              <td>
                                0.97
                              </td>

                              <td class="negative">
                                -1.64</td</tr> <tr>
                                  <td>
                                    (Other)
                                  </td>

                                  <td>
                                    6.41
                                  </td>

                                  <td>
                                    2.98
                                  </td>

                                  <td class="negative">
                                    -3.43</td</tr> </tbody> </table> </div> <div class="percentages">
                                      <h3>
                                        US mobile browser traffic (% share)
                                      </h3>

                                      <table>
                                        <tr>
                                          <td>
                                            Device
                                          </td>

                                          <td>
                                            2009 %
                                          </td>

                                          <td>
                                            2010 %
                                          </td>

                                          <td>
                                            % change
                                          </td>
                                        </tr>

                                        <tr>
                                          <td>
                                            iPhone
                                          </td>

                                          <td>
                                            37.01
                                          </td>

                                          <td>
                                            32.96
                                          </td>

                                          <td class="negative">
                                            -4.05
                                          </td>
                                        </tr>

                                        <tr>
                                          <td>
                                            iTouch
                                          </td>

                                          <td>
                                            23.49
                                          </td>

                                          <td>
                                            20.62
                                          </td>

                                          <td class="negative">
                                            -2.87</td</tr> <tr>
                                              <td>
                                                BlackBerry
                                              </td>

                                              <td>
                                                11.37
                                              </td>

                                              <td>
                                                19.32
                                              </td>

                                              <td class="positive">
                                                +7.95</td</tr> <tr>
                                                  <td>
                                                    Android
                                                  </td>

                                                  <td>
                                                    5.19
                                                  </td>

                                                  <td>
                                                    11.9
                                                  </td>

                                                  <td class="positive">
                                                    +6.71</td</tr> <tr>
                                                      <td>
                                                        Sony PSP
                                                      </td>

                                                      <td>
                                                        7.68
                                                      </td>

                                                      <td>
                                                        2.18
                                                      </td>

                                                      <td class="negative">
                                                        -5.5</td</tr> <tr>
                                                          <td>
                                                            Opera
                                                          </td>

                                                          <td>
                                                            3.56
                                                          </td>

                                                          <td>
                                                            3.06
                                                          </td>

                                                          <td class="negative">
                                                            -0.5</td</tr> <tr>
                                                              <td>
                                                                Openwave
                                                              </td>

                                                              <td>
                                                                3.07
                                                              </td>

                                                              <td>
                                                                2.04
                                                              </td>

                                                              <td class="negative">
                                                                -1.03</td</tr> <tr>
                                                                  <td>
                                                                    NetFront
                                                                  </td>

                                                                  <td>
                                                                    1
                                                                  </td>

                                                                  <td>
                                                                    2.26
                                                                  </td>

                                                                  <td class="positive">
                                                                    +1.26</td</tr> <tr>
                                                                      <td>
                                                                        IEMobile
                                                                      </td>

                                                                      <td>
                                                                        3.12
                                                                      </td>

                                                                      <td>
                                                                        0.74
                                                                      </td>

                                                                      <td class="negative">
                                                                        -2.38</td</tr> <tr>
                                                                          <td>
                                                                            (Other)
                                                                          </td>

                                                                          <td>
                                                                            4.5
                                                                          </td>

                                                                          <td>
                                                                            4.92
                                                                          </td>

                                                                          <td class="positive">
                                                                            +0.42</td</tr> </tbody> </table> </div> <p>
                                                                              Predictions for 2010:
                                                                            </p>

                                                                            <ul>
                                                                              <li>
                                                                                Android continues to increase market share
                                                                              </li>
                                                                              <li>
                                                                                Decrease in NetFront market share (opposite of current trend)
                                                                              </li>
                                                                              <li>
                                                                                Microsoft Windows Phone 7 Series reverses downward IE trend
                                                                              </li>
                                                                              <li>
                                                                                iPad grows in market share (this is a given, but will it break the top 10?)
                                                                              </li>
                                                                            </ul>

                                                                            <p>
                                                                              Source: <a href="http://gs.statcounter.com/#mobile_browser-ww-monthly-200901-201001">statcounter.com</a>
                                                                            </p>
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